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Saturday, July 22, 2006

Mid East Jul 2006

Americans fleeing Lebanon express regret


By LAUREN FRAYER and HAMZA HENDAWI, Associated Press Writers



BEIRUT, Lebanon - Anxious Americans hauled bulging suitcases down a rocky Lebanese beach and into the waiting hold of a U.S. Navy landing craft Friday as the accelerating U.S. evacuation moved thousands away from unrelenting Israeli airstrikes

Five thousand U.S. citizens were leaving Friday — the largest number in one day since the evacuation began Wednesday. U.S. officials confirmed that 3,600 had left but it wasn't immediately clear if a ship carrying the remaining 1,400 had departed.

U.S. Embassy officials, still smarting from criticism over delays in starting the evacuation effort, said that with the day's departures, more than 8,000 of the 25,000 Americans in Lebanon when the bombing started had evacuated.

The Americans joined tens of thousands of foreigners heading home to destinations around the globe.

U.S. Marines helped push baby carriages and lifted children into the boats ferrying thousands of U.S. citizens, many who had been visiting family in Lebanon, to seven warships that waited in the Mediterranean, compared to two the day before.

Dogs sniffed luggage for explosives. Troops handed out water bottles and military rations to evacuees, many of whom had been waiting in the sun since 5 a.m.

"We're really sad because we're leaving this way," said Maha Maher, 38, of Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, who was visiting relatives with her two sons. "All that we wish is peace for Lebanon, because it's a great country. The Lebanese people are paying the price, and we feel sorry for this."

The USS Trenton, normally a troop transport, left Beirut carrying 1,775 Americans to the neighboring Mediterranean island of Cyprus, as did the USS Nashville, with 1,000 evacuees.

Officials had said that only about 8,000 Americans had registered to leave, but they were letting people who had not signed up board the ships. They declined to give a specific number, but suggested the effort would wrap up this weekend.

"That would be my suspicion," said Marine Brig. Gen. Carl B. Jensen, who was leading the operation. He added there might even be room for guests from other countries.

"It wouldn't surprise me at all if we had some excess capacity," Jensen said. "We will of course make that available to other nations to assist in their orderly departure," he added.

About a quarter of Lebanon's population, or about 1 million people, emigrated during the 1975-1990 war, to France, the Americas and Australia. Many of those who settled in the U.S. were dual citizens.

Catherine Haidar and her husband Mahmoud, who own a restaurant in southern California, had brought their four girls — ages 9 to 17.

"I was waiting for my kids to grow up," Catherine Haidar said, adding that the girls had just gotten used to the unfamiliar territory and made friends when the bombs began to fall.

"The house was shaking," Haidar said.

Americans already in Cyprus boarded flights home or packed into shelters.

The U.S. government already has spent about $200,000 helping Americans return to the United States, an amount expected to grow.

A repatriation center opened Thursday at Baltimore-Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport. Another center opened Friday at Philadelphia's airport.

The centers are staffed by medical and mental health professionals, and have phone banks and computers to help people contact friends and relatives.

Hezbollah guerrillas captured two Israeli soldiers in a cross-border raid on July 12, setting off the Israeli offensive. Hezbollah has responded by raining rockets onto Israel.

Most foreigners are traveling by sea to Cyprus as the overland route to Syria was deemed too dangerous and Israel knocked Beirut's airport out of service last week by bombing its runways.

About 200 Canadians assembled near the Beirut port waiting to be evacuated, many wearing hats or covering their heads with towels under the sweltering heat. Officials said as many as 30,000 were scheduled for evacuation and 2,413 people had left Beirut by the end of the day.

The first planeload landed in Ottawa aboard Prime Minister Stephen Harper's jet, which Harper had flown to Larnaca, Cyprus.

Canada has been criticised for conducting chaotic and slow evacuation efforts. Foreign Affairs Minister Peter MacKay said the criticism, of what would likely become the country's largest emergency exodus from another country, was unwarranted.

"It's the largest effort in Canadian history; we are making progress and we are getting results," he told a news conference in Ottawa. "We are sparing the politics and we are moving forward in a way that is going to allow Canadians to get home."

The U.S. evacuation effort drew Marines to Lebanon for the first time in more than two decades. A total of 241 Americans, including many Marines, were killed in a 1983 suicide bombing blamed on Hezbollah-linked militants. The Marines left Lebanon a few months later, ending the last U.S. military presence in this tiny Arab nation.

"For the U.S. Marine Corps, Beirut will always be hallowed ground," Jensen said. "No Marine can set foot on Lebanon without memories flooding."

Other evacuees so far include at least 2,860 Britons, 1,000 Italians, 608 Indians, 3,500 Germans, 560 Greeks and 1,000 Turks.

___

Associated Press Writer Maria Sanminiatelli in Nicosia, Cyprus, contributed to this story.



Copyright © 2006 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.



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To Save a Revolution

By David Ignatius
Friday, July 21, 2006; Page A17


You could sense the hurt and anger as Lebanese Prime Minister Fuad Siniora pleaded this week to the U.S. ambassador and other diplomats in Beirut for a halt to Israeli attacks on Lebanese targets. "The country has been torn to shreds," he said. "I hope you will not let us down."

The challenge for the Bush administration as the Lebanon war explodes into its second week is just that -- to keep faith with Siniora and his Cedar Revolution, even as it stands by its close ally Israel. This isn't simply a question of appearances and public diplomacy. Unless Siniora's government can be strengthened, there is little hope for achieving the U.S. and Israeli goal of bringing Hezbollah's guerrillas under lasting control.

"America's role is to energize a political outcome that helps to satisfy Israeli military objectives by other means," says one administration official. The problem is that the American diplomatic timetable is so slow that by the time a cease-fire is reached -- more than a week off, by U.S. estimates -- Lebanon may be too broken to be put back together anytime soon.

Administration officials rightly insist that returning to the status quo in Lebanon would be a mistake. After last year's triumph of forcing a withdrawal of Syrian troops, Siniora's government was struggling (and largely failing) to establish a viable nation. This nation-building effort was hamstrung by Hezbollah's insistence that it maintain what amounted to a state within a state.
The administration's strategy is to let Israel do the dirty work of breaking Hezbollah and then move in a foreign "stabilization force" to bolster the Lebanese army. Once Israel has pushed the guerrillas north, this international force would help the Lebanese army deploy to the southern border with Israel and the eastern border with Syria. The plan is for a beefed-up successor to the existing United Nations force in southern Lebanon, known as UNIFIL.

The administration's informal deadline for getting a U.N. mandate for this new international force is July 31, when UNIFIL's current mandate expires. The French now command that force, and the United States hopes they can remain in that role, with new troops coming from such robust military powers as Italy, Turkey and Canada.

Siniora has privately warned the Bush administration that by bombing so many targets in Lebanon, Israel is undermining its own strategic goals. Lebanese are angry with Hezbollah for starting the war by kidnapping Israeli soldiers, and most want to see the militia under government control. But Siniora has asked why the Israelis are hitting Lebanese airports, ports, roads, villages and other targets that primarily affect civilians. And he has criticized attacks on the Lebanese army, which even the Israelis say is the key to long-run stability and security.

Some Bush administration officials share Siniora's concern about the scope of Israeli attacks. These officials are said not to understand Israeli targeting decisions. The administration is understood to have communicated this concern to Jerusalem.

The Lebanon crisis has put the administration in a double bind. U.S. officials know they need to move soon toward a cease-fire to preserve any chance for the Siniora government to regain control of the country. But they don't want to move so quickly that they prevent Israel from completing its primary military mission of destroying Hezbollah's arsenal of missiles and pushing the Shiite guerrillas back from the border. The administration's two-track approach is perhaps summed up in Augustus Caesar's famous admonition: "Make haste slowly."

Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice will head for the Middle East this weekend to try to animate this diplomacy. She has no plans to stop in Syria, and that's a sensible decision. It's up to the Syrians to demonstrate that they can play a positive role -- not least to their Sunni Arab neighbors, who are angry about President Bashar al-Assad's alliance with Shiite Iran and its proxies. A recent claim by Syrian intelligence officials that they have no control over Hamas leader Khaled Meshal is said to have infuriated Egypt's intelligence chief, Omar Suleiman, who responded indignantly: "Don't give us that! We are not Mauritania! We are Egypt!"

Supporting Israel and Lebanon at the same time is a tricky task -- especially at a moment when the bombs are flying between one nation and the other. Unless the administration moves quickly to demonstrate that it supports the Siniora government, and not just Israel, its larger strategy for defusing the conflict may begin to unravel. Administration officials recognize that a stable Lebanon cannot be achieved by military action alone. But for now, all the world sees is Hezbollah rockets and Israeli bombs.



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From Jerusalem Post:
 
 
Featured Article

 

Security and Defense: Udi Adam's war
By YAAKOV KATZ
 
 
 


Last month, the Northern Command conducted a massive exercise to practice war with Hizbullah. At the time, senior officers claimed that the IDF's working assumption was that the border could flare up at any moment, although it's doubtful anyone believed then that the situation would evolve into an all-out war.

The exercise was considered a groundbreaking success in that it simulated a new concept in the art of warfare under consideration by the General Staff. Dubbed "Integration of Branches," the concept essentially takes the chief of staff out of the operational picture and sets the regional commander, in this case OC Northern Command Maj.-Gen. Udi Adam, in charge of what the IDF is now calling the "operation zone."

In the past, the regional commander was only in charge of his own ground forces plus a restricted section of the battle zone. Air and navy forces were under the command of the chief of staff, as were decisions about incursions into enemy territory.

This new concept, Adam's brainchild, was implemented last week for the first time in Operation Change of Direction against Hizbullah. In contrast to previous wars, Adam is running the show. He is in charge of ground forces operating in Lebanon, navy missile ships and IAF fighter jets, all out of the underground bunker at command headquarters in Safed. IDF Chief of Staff Lt.-Gen. Dan Halutz is still in the picture, but more on the level of setting policy, dealing with the diplomatic echelon and overseeing Israel's other fronts - in the Gaza Strip and the West Bank.

But for Adam, his officers say, Operation Change of Direction is more than just another war. He is the first son of an IDF general to also become a member of the General Staff. His father was Maj.-Gen. (res.) Yekutiel Adam, the former IDF deputy chief of staff, killed in June 1982 during Operation Peace for Galilee in Lebanon, the same country where his son is currently pursuing the war against Hizbullah.

Kuti, as he was called, had been appointed head of the Mossad by Menachem Begin but was killed before he could take up the post by a Lebanese gunman at the age of 54, becoming the highest-ranking officer in IDF history to be killed in action. He was the mastermind behind the famous Entebbe raid as well as the bombing of the Osirak nuclear reactor in Iraq.

When Adam speaks of his father the emotion is noticeable in his voice. "I think and don't think about him," Adam told The Jerusalem Post on Thursday. "He accompanies me throughout the fighting. Once this is all over I will have time to sit and think things through."

The impact the slain general had on his son is evident. Adam is one of those tough and strict commanders who keeps a safe distance from the public eye, just like his father, his officers say.

The Northern Command post is Adam's second position as an IDF major general, an appointment he received last year after he already had one foot out the door following the completion of his tenure as OC Logistics Directorate, in which he oversaw the smooth military implementation of the disengagement. He is a rare bird within the General Staff, avoiding politicians, and has very few confidants, those who serve with him say. He is far from arrogant and weighs every word before speaking.

Adam, his officers said, took the news of the kidnapping of two soldiers in the North last week by Hizbullah very hard. "He recognizes that there was an operational failure there," one officer explained. "But at the moment there is a war and we try not to focus on it." Brig.-Gen. Avi Ashkenazi, brother of Maj.-Gen. (res.) Gabi Ashkenazi, a former deputy chief of staff and the newly-appointed director-general of the Defense Ministry, has been appointed to head an investigative committee into the incident.

But with time running out for Israel's operation in the North, Adam is under pressure to step up the offensive so the operation can be declared a victory for Israel, with Hizbullah dealt a severe enough blow to prevent it from even thinking about launching any such future attack.

That offensive is currently focused on how to stop the Katyusha rocket launchings. The stated goal of the mission is to "significantly hurt" Hizbullah, but even though several members of the General Staff said this week that 40-50 percent of the group's military capabilities had been destroyed, it still succeeded in firing between 100-150 rockets a day at Israel. Officers also speak about "high-ranking" Hizbullah operatives killed in the action. But ask them for the names of the bad guys killed and they suddenly turn quiet.

So where has the damage been done? Israel has been laying siege to Lebanon, has bombed the Beirut Airport as well as highway bridges and entire neighborhoods, but Hizbullah remains as stubborn an enemy as it was before the operation was launched. Until now, the majority of Israel's offensive has been by air and last week's assault on central Lebanon appears to have also proven effective in destroying some of the terrorist organization's long-range missiles.

But to get to the Katyusha launchers in the south, the IDF has decided to deploy elite units inside Lebanon in pinpoint operations similar to the one during which two Maglan soldiers were killed on Wednesday. The IDF has been holding back from recommending a massive ground incursion although the Northern Command, Adam insists, is ready for the possibility.

The thing about the air campaign, a high-ranking IAF officer explained this week, is that it was based on intelligence and since Israel is not on the ground in Lebanon, the intelligence is difficult to come by. The IDF, however, does not want to have to send troops into Lebanon, officers said. The loss of lives there would be unbearable, they explained, referring to a list of surprises in store for them should ground forces enter - ranging from Hizbullah covert cells to hundreds if not thousands of mines and explosive devices planted along the border.

But Adam, the man at the forefront of the campaign, says that damage has been caused to the Hizbullah. Yes, he admits, it is still firing rockets at Israel but it is also simultaneously suffering loses. Time is of the essence here, he says, and while some generals have spoken of the need for another week, Adam seeks more than that. "This won't take months or a year but we do need several more weeks," he says.

Adam, however, is not fooling himself into believing that a military operation will solve the Hizbullah problem. He believes the violence will ultimately only cease via a diplomatic solution, one that sees Lebanon fully implement UN Resolution 1559 calling for the disarmament of Hizbullah as well as the deployment of Lebanese soldiers along the border with Israel.

"There is nothing that can be solved just by the military," he says. "There is a need for a diplomatic solution and that is what we are doing - trying to create the optimal conditions for a diplomatic solution."
 
 
 
© 1995 - 2006 The Jerusalem Post. All rights reserved.

Friday, July 21, 2006

Too Busy To Learn

Too Busy to Learn
Robert Scales | January 23, 2006


From the Congress of Vienna in 1815 to the German invasion of France in 1914 the British Army maintained order from Egypt to Hong Kong with an Army that never exceeded 300,000. A “thin red line” of British infantry fought a succession of small wars against mostly tribal enemies winning virtually all of them quickly. The Achilles heel of the Victorian military system was intellectual rather than physical. The demands of defending the empire created an army too busy to learn. For an institution obsessed with active service, time away from campaigning was time wasted. Staff college attendance was considered bad form. Writing about one's profession gave evidence of a mind unengaged in the necessary business of fighting real wars against real enemies. In the officers mess polite conversation was spent on equine sport rather than the art of war.

The parallels between the British Army then and ours today are striking -- and disturbing. The American military has become so stretched that it has little time to devote to any activity other than repetitive deployments to Afghanistan, Iraq, and elsewhere. The strains of over-commitment are evident, most disturbingly in the military's crumbling academic infrastructure. The Department of Defense is seeking ways to cut drastically the time soldiers spend in school. In World War II 31 of the Army's 35 corps commanders taught at service schools. Today the Army's staff college is so short instructors that it has been forced to hire civilian contractors to do the bulk of the teaching.

After Vietnam the Army sent 7,400 officers to fully funded graduate education. Today that figure is 396, half of whom are studying to join the weapons buying community. The military school system remains an anachronism of Nineteenth Century pedagogy that fails to make best use of the dismally limited time available to soldiers for learning. Many young officers have voted with their fingers. The most popular learning platforms among lieutenants and captains are self-generated websites rather than established institutions.

While the press of operations lessens opportunities to learn, experience in Iraq reinforces the belief that the need to learn has never been greater. Soldiers today can no longer just practice the science of killing in order to win. They must understand and be sensitive to alien cultures. They must be skilled in the art of peacekeeping and stability operations. They must be able to operate with coalition partners and work with governmental and non-governmental institutions such as the Red Cross and Doctors without Borders. Today in Iraq and Afghanistan junior officers and sergeants make critical life and death decisions that were the purview of colonels and generals in previous wars. Thus in this new and unfamiliar era of conflict the military must prepare soldiers to think critically and analytically much earlier in their careers.

Who is to blame for allowing the learning deficit within the military to grow so wide? The list of the guilty is long. Congress shares much of the blame. In the past they have had a “show me the money” attitude toward funding military Education that required an immediate and demonstrable payback for any fully funded learning program. This policy tended to overstate the need for scientific degrees and minimize opportunities for officers to study culture and the art of war.

This administration is to blame for slighting professional education in an effort to free up the (too small) pool of available soldiers and Marines for deployment into combat. The services are to blame for failing to build progressive learning institutions and to recognize those who demonstrate exceptional intellectual ability. Before Vietnam some of our best universities such as Duke, Yale and Princeton had vibrant defense studies programs that gave future combat leaders the opportunity to learn from many great teachers of the art of war. For the most part those programs and teachers are gone, victims of an academic culture that somehow believes that ignoring the study of war will make wars go away.

While the British Army obsessed on fighting distant small wars the Germans under Helmuth von Moltke developed a system of disciplined learning that rewarded brilliance and creative thought. During the opening battles of World War I the Germans taught the British a lesson in blood: In war the intellectually gifted will win over well practiced dullards every time. The British failed to understand how to transition from small- to large-scale combat; perhaps we are facing a similar intellectual challenge while transitioning from large to small wars. One fact is clear: War is a thinking man's game. Soldiers and Marines need time for reflection, time to learn, teach, research and write. In this new age of warfare we must do more to prepare soldiers to think as well as act.






About Robert Scales

Dr. Robert Scales is currently President of Colgen, Inc, a consulting firm specializing in issues relating to landpower, wargaming and strategic leadership. Prior to joining the private sector Dr. Scales served over thirty years in the Army, retiring as a Major General. He commanded two units in Vietnam, winning the Silver Star for action during the battles around Dong Ap Bia (Hamburger Hill) during the summer of 1969. He ended his military career as Commandant of the United States Army War College.




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Like Predecessor, UN's New Rights Body Targets Israel
By Patrick Goodenough
CNSNews.com International Editor
July 07, 2006



(CNSNews.com) - Following a trend adopted by its discredited predecessor, the U.N.'s new Human Rights Council ended its first-ever "special session" Thursday with a resolution condemning Israel over the crisis in the Gaza Strip.

By a vote of 29-11 with five abstentions, the 47-member body passed a resolution demanding that Israel end its military operations in Gaza, expressing concern about the impact the operation was having on Palestinians' humanitarian situation, urging Israel to release detained Palestinian lawmakers and mandating an urgent visit to the area by a U.N. special rapporteur.

The resolution, introduced by the Arab and Islamic blocs, made no specific reference to the factors that triggered Israel's Operation Spring Rain -- Hamas' kidnapping of an Israeli soldier and the firing by Gaza-based terrorists of rockets into Israeli population centers.

Army Corporal Gilad Shalit remains missing Friday, with Palestinian leaders maintaining he will only be freed if Israel releases a large number of Arab prisoners. Kassam rockets continued to land in the Israeli coastal city of Ashkelon this week as Israeli forces pushed ahead with the offensive.

The HRC resolution was opposed by Canada, Japan and nine countries in Europe after they failed in attempts to insert balancing language into the text.

Japan called the resolution "one-sided and not constructive," while Canada said it was unacceptable that the measure ignored Israel's "legitimate security concerns."

"It must also acknowledge that the Palestinian Authority has a responsibility to prevent the constant firing of rockets into Israel, to resolve the present hostage-taking crisis and to prevent the recurrence of further such criminal acts," the Canadian envoy said.

The U.S., although not a member of the council, delivered a statement during the debate. Envoy Warren Tichenor said the U.S. did not believe a special session should ignore the role of Hamas in the kidnapping; the Palestinian Authority's failure to denounce violence; and "the continued role of Syria in harboring and supporting rejectionists."

Damascus-based Hamas leader Khalid Mashaal ordered the kidnapping of Shalit, who was captured during a June 25 raid on an army base during which two other Israeli soldiers were killed.

Tichenor called on the HRC to act "in an even-handed, fair and equitable way," and he asked council members to consider how their countries could make a constructive contribution towards Mideast peace.


'Clean break'

The U.S. chose not to stand for election in the council's first year because it felt the document creating it did not go far enough to resolve the problems that plagued the now-defunct U.N. Commission for Human Rights.

Human rights advocates say the commission's annual sessions were characterized by selectivity -- Israel faced much more censure than any other country, with routine critical resolutions passed year after year -- and political maneuvering as states formed blocs to gang up on their foes and defend their friends.

It was also discredited by the presence of countries ruled by regimes with widely criticized human rights records.

The commission was replaced by the council as part of a broader program initiated by Secretary-General Kofi Annan and aimed at reforming the U.N.

Annan told the council's inaugural session, which ran June 19-30, that its work should "mark a clean break from the past."

And at a press conference in New York, Annan said: "No country can claim to have a perfect human rights record, and so I hope we are not going to see a situation where the Human Rights Commission focuses on Israel, but not on others."

His call went unheeded, however. During that first two-week regular session, the council discussed only two country-specific situations -- Israel/Gaza and Sudan/Darfur -- and passed only one resolution, again targeting Israel.

Then, shortly after the session ended on June 30, Tunisia -- on behalf of the Arab League -- called for the emergency session, which ran Wednesday and Thursday and ended with the second resolution condemning Israel.

The special session was held because 21 council member states approved the Arab League's request. The council's creating document provides for emergency sessions to be held outside regular meetings if one-third of the members agree.

The innovation was hailed as a positive one, in that it would enable the council to respond quickly to urgent situations.

But a threshold of just 16 countries also means that, with the current membership, the 14 Muslim members only need a couple of extra votes -- most likely from customary allies including China, Cuba and Russia -- each time they want a special session held.


'Israel-bashing obsession'

The meeting and resolution drew strong criticism from human rights and Jewish groups.

U.N. Watch, a Geneva-based non-governmental organization (NGO), said the resolution passed comprised "a long litany of specific condemnations and demands against Israel but says nothing about the Hamas government's role in the hostage-taking that precipitated the current crisis or in perpetrating deliberate attacks on Israeli civilians."

The group's executive director, Hillel Neuer, said the Arab League's request for the session had been "politically motivated, intended solely to target Israel."

He also criticized a move by the Islamic bloc to suspend debate directly before NGOs were scheduled to speak and commented on "the spectacle of Sudan accusing others of 'war crimes.'"

Neuer said it was regrettable that a majority of council members were "showing contempt for Mr. Annan's urgent plea to leave behind the discredited commission's self-destructive obsession with bashing Israel at the expense of urgent human rights situations affecting millions of victims in Darfur, China, Chechnya and in so many other places across the globe."

New York-based Human Rights Watch said while the council was right to draw attention to the situation in Gaza and to call on Israel to take steps to address the crisis, "it failed to address acts of violence by Palestinian armed groups or to recognize that Palestinian authorities can help to resolve the situation."

Citing the humanitarian disaster in Darfur, the group's global advocacy director, Peggy Hicks, said "the council should bring the same vigor to its consideration of other urgent human rights situations as it has to the Gaza crisis."

"It is shameful that, as thousands continue to die in Darfur and millions languish under oppression worldwide, Israel has once again become the decoy of choice for regimes seeking to shield themselves from international scrutiny," World Jewish Congress Director of International Organizations Shai Franklin said in a statement.

Anti-Defamation League National Director Abraham Foxman said the resolution had predictably blamed Israel "while giving Hamas a pass."

Despite hopes the new council would be more balanced, he said, "this resolution, along with the attempt to establish a permanent agenda item on Israel at every session, shows that this new council is prejudicially weighted against Israel and tainted with the same anti-Israel baggage of the past."

Of the 47 members of the new council, nine -- China, Cuba, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Pakistan, Tunisia, Algeria, Cameroon and Azerbaijan -- are countries that the democracy watchdog Freedom House designates "not free."

Another 13 are "partly free," according to Freedom House, which bases its assessment on scores for political rights and civil liberties.

The full membership is: Algeria, Argentina, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Bangladesh, Brazil, Britain, Cameroon, Canada, China, Cuba, Czech Republic, Djibouti, Ecuador, Finland, France, Gabon, Ghana, Germany, Guatemala, India, Indonesia, Japan, Jordan, Malaysia, Mali, Mauritius, Mexico, Morocco, the Netherlands, Nigeria, Pakistan, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Romania, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Senegal, South Africa, Sri Lanka, Switzerland, South Korea, Tunisia, Ukraine, Uruguay and Zambia.





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Turkish anti-West mood 'rising'



Turkish Foreign Minister Abdullah Gul has warned that moderate Turks are becoming anti-American and anti-EU.

Mr Gul said many Turks were embittered by the US' support for Israel's actions in Lebanon and by Turkey's problems in joining the EU.

He also said Ankara could be forced to act to stop cross-border raids by Kurdish rebels operating from Iraq.

Mr Gul's comments came in a wide-ranging interview with the UK's Financial Times newspaper.

"Moderate liberal people [in Turkey] are becoming anti-American and anti-EU," he said.

"If our young, educated, dynamic and economically active people become bitter, if their attitudes and feelings are changed, it is not good.

"Their feeling has changed towards these global policies and strategic issues. This is dangerous."

On the EU accession talks, Mr Gul said failure to resolve the dispute with Cyprus was "poisoning" the process that was formally launched in June.

Cyprus has threatened to veto the Turkish bid unless Ankara officially recognises it and opens its ports and airports to Greek Cypriot ships and planes.

But Mr Gul said Turkish lawmakers would reject such proposals unless the Cypriots also lifted their veto on any direct trade with the Turkish Cypriot government in northern Cyprus, which is not internationally recognised.

He also suggested that some EU states seemed to be hiding behind the Cyprus issues to delay Turkey's accession talks.


Kurdish issue

On the Middle East issue, Mr Gul said US policies were causing a backlash in Turkey and the region.

Washington's support for Israel did not help solve the problem, he said.

And he again warned that Turkey would have to act if the US and Iraq failed to stop by the Turkish Kurdish rebel group, the PKK, which is operating from Iraq.

Washington - a long-term ally of Ankara - has warned Turkey against taking unilateral military action against PKK bases in northern Iraq.



http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/5198290.stm





 
 

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Annan lays blame with both Israel and Hizbollah
By Mark Turner at theUnited Nations andGuy Dinmore in,Washington

Published: July 21 2006 03:00 | Last updated: July 21 2006 03:00


Kofi Annan, the UN secretary-general, warned the Security Council yesterday that there were significant obstacles to any quick end to the violence in the Middle East but urged it to demand an immediate end of hostilities to save lives, send aid and to allow space for diplomacy.

In a speech that blamed the Islamist movement Hizbollah for triggering the crisis but also condemned Israel's "excessive" reaction, Mr Annan laid out a formula for a lasting ceasefire and revival of the peace process.

His package included the release of abducted Israeli soldiers, an expanded peacekeeping force, urgent aid and reconstruction measures, and an international conference to set timelines for the restoration of full Lebanese sovereignty and dismantling militia.

Mr Annan had tough words for both Hizbollah and Israel. "Whatever other agendas they may serve, Hizbollah's actions, which it portrays as defending Palestinian and Lebanese interests, in fact do neither," he said. "On the contrary, they hold an entire nation hostage."

But while reaffirming Israel's right to self-defence, Mr Annan condemned its disproportionate reaction: "Whatever damage Israel's operations may be doing to Hizbollah's military capabilities, they are doing nothing to decrease popular support for Hizbollah in Lebanon or the region, but are doing a great deal to weaken the government of Lebanon."

Dan Gillerman, Israel's UN ambassador, claimed that "three key elements of this crisis - terrorism, Iran and Syria" were not addressed in Mr Annan's speech.

"The first thing that must be addressed is cessation of terror, before we can talk about a cessation of hostilities," he said. "Diplomacy can play a part only after terror has been taken care of."

John Bolton, the US ambassador to the UN, insisted any solution would need to "fundamentally change the realities of the region", but added: "No one has explained how you conduct a ceasefire with a group of terrorists." Nouhad Mahmoud, Lebanon's envoy, described Mr Annan's calls as "the voice of reason. Our first impression is very positive."

Mr Annan said that even while hostilities continued, it was "imperative" to establish safe humanitarian corridors: "The humanitarian task facing us is massive and must be funded urgently." He also urged a peace track for Gaza, where Palestinians were "suffering deeply" and where, he noted, a million people were without electricity after Israel's destruction of the Gaza power plant.

"I call for an immediate cessation of indiscriminate and disproportionate violence and a reopening of closed crossing-points, without which Gaza will continue to be sucked into a downward spiral of suffering and chaos, and the region further inflamed."

Condoleezza Rice, the US secretary of state, and Javier Solana, the EU foreign policy chief, were due to meet Mr Annan last night.

Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2006


http://www.ft.com/cms/s/f4465af8-1854-11db-99a6-0000779e2340.html



 
 
 

 
FIRST WEIGH THE CONSIDERATIONS, THEN TAKE THE RISKS.
--Helmuth von Moltke the Elder

Saturday, July 15, 2006

MAPHILINDO

Philip Bowring: When the Malays cast their votes
In East Asia
By Philip Bowring (IHT)
Tuesday, July 13, 2004


HONG KONG: The world has its gaze on China's economic growth and emergence as a global power. But something perhaps as remarkable and significant for the longer term evolution of east Asia has passed almost unnoticed.

This year more Malays have participated in reasonably free and fair national elections than will vote in the U.S. presidential election in November. Malaysia, the Philippines and Indonesia have all engaged in mostly peaceful exercises in political choice, with more than 70 percent casting their ballots. Of the four predominantly Malay nations, with a combined population of some 300 million, only the tiny oil rich sultanate of Brunei cannot pass as a democracy. Is this a happy coincidence or a cultural statement with political and ethnic implications for the region?

Malaysia, the Philippines and Indonesia are usually thought of in terms of either their religious differences - Muslim, Christian or a mix - or the different governance systems that have grown out of foreign rule - British, American, Dutch.

But there is a shared common cultural heritage which predates the arrival of the West, of Christianity and of Islam. It is found in many social attitudes and behavioral norms and often transcends religious and national differences. For instance the higher status of women compared to Chinese societies is reflected in the lack of a bias for male births.

There is also the basis of a shared language - before English, Malay was the lingua franca of Southeast Asia.

Is there here the germ of a pan-Malay political agenda?

The Indonesian presidential election coincided with the death of Subandrio, 90, President Sukarno's foreign minister and key player in the 1961 creation of the Nonaligned Movement. Subandrio was also the 1963 inventor of the word "Maphilindo," shorthand for a pan-Malay confederation, an idea initiated by President Macapagal, father of the current Philippine president.

The motive was to thwart the attachment of the British Borneo states to Malaya. But there was a genuine pan-Malay sentiment behind it, and a sub-text in a fear of China. Maphilindo became irrelevant when the Malay nations joined with their fellow anti-Communist neighbors, Thailand and Singapore, to create the Association of South East Asia Nations (Asean).

Fast forward 40 years and at first glance Maphilindo looks more remote than ever. Asean has expanded to include all of mainland Southeast Asia and has created a free trade area of sorts. China is now outwardly friendly, a source of trade growth and investment opportunity.

But Asean may have become too big to be meaningful. Thailand and Singapore are going their own ways with bilateral free trade deals. Asean-China free trade looks more rhetoric than reality. Meanwhile there is long-term concern as well as short-term advantage in China's growth. China's ambitions to control the South China Sea remains very much on the table to the discomfort to the Malays who occupy most of its coastline. Only this month China announced an award of oil exploration blocks to its national oil company Petrochina but kept the location under wraps.

Translating a shared culture and geopolitical concerns into common policy is hard. The Malay lands of island and peninsular Southeast Asia have scant record of political cohesion. Historically, states have been transient. In contrast to the Chinese world, they have no tradition of strong bureaucracies holding states together and imposing a state ideology. But their traditions of patron-client relationships, of relatively high levels of religious and behavioral tolerance, their instincts of loyalty to individuals rather than institutions or ideologies may accord quite well with the modernity of the ballot box.

Possibly, populism and nationalism will be in the defining marks of Malay democracy rather than economic growth and law-based governance. Systems might be far from ideal from the perspectives of the economy and good order but allow cultural freedoms to flourish. Unlike China, Malaysia and Indonesia have cushions of natural resources and no costly big power ambitions.

Longer term they also have one particular advantage over their giant northern neighbor. The Philippines has excessive population growth but Indonesia and Malaysia have achieved gradual, undraconian, demographic transition which 30 years from now will show up China's mix of one child policy and male preference. Perhaps China's southward expansion will be reversed just as demography has led Russia's retreat from Asia.

The Malay enthusiasm for voting may prove transient. Possibly, China will follow its Northeast Asian neighbors in escaping from rule by one party and a state bureaucracy. But that is not now. There will be consequences from the ubiquity of the Malay ballot box at a time when pan-Malay identity is stirring as China rises and old colonial-imposed divisions erode. What those consequences will be is anyone's guess. But they are worth contemplating.









PHILIPPINES-MALAYSIA RELATIONS: AN OVERVIEW


Recent political developments in the Philippines augur well for Philippine-Malaysia relations. By and large, the assumption of erstwhile Vice President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo as the 14th President of the Republic of the Philippines on January 20 this year signals a fresh beginning and provides renewed vigor to the country’s relations with its ASEAN neighbors, the countries in the Americas, Europe, the mainly Islamic Middle East, and rest of the world.

While the new Administration adheres to current foreign policy thrusts, Pres. Arroyo has adopted a more aggressive, pro-active, rational and pragmatic approach to diplomacy with the view to forging closer, friendlier and enhanced cooperation with its bilateral and multilateral partners. Introducing a novelty strategy in promoting the Philippines as an investment-friendly zone, a supplier of world class goods, services and talent, and as a safe tourist destination, the President appointed special roving ambassadors—persons of established credibility and proven competence -- to complement the work of the country’s missions abroad.

Pres. Arroyo’s stewardship of the Philippines has been recognized by Malaysia’s officials, and hopes are high that relations between the two countries would bloom and reach new heights.

MILESTONES IN HISTORY

Official relations between the Philippines and Malaysia span 42 years-- only two years short of Malaysia’s existence as a sovereign state. Sharing the same Malay culture and heritage, undoubtedly, transcending geographic boundaries, the two countries are training their sights to a full flowering of genuine sibling partnership, leaving behind a checkered history not devoid of some rough sailing. Yet, while the journey to the partnership that it is today had, at times, been choppy and tough, the Philippines and Malaysia could look back to history with pride that they surmounted the hurdles, and through the years have kept a relationship distinguished by civility, mutual respect and cooperation within the framework of ASEAN, of which both are founding members, together with Indonesia, Singapore and Thailand.

Following is a chronology of important events in the 42-year history of Philippines-Malaysia relations:

1959 The Philippines established a Legation in Kuala Lumpur
1961 The Philippine Legation was elevated into an Embassy, with Ambassador Yusup Abubakar as Chief of Mission.

Pres. Carlos Garcia, accompanied by the First Lady, some members of his Cabinet and of Congress, embarked on a four-day state visit to Malaysia (then Federation of Malaya) on Feb. 8 – 11, whereby, he discussed, among others, with Malayan Prime Minister Tunku Abdul Rahman the possibility of forming an Association of Southeast Asian States (ASA).

At the state dinner on Feb. 10 in honor of the Paramount Ruler, Yang di-Pertuan Agong, President Garcia rallied Asian countries to unite and to bring "prosperity and a richer life" to their peoples. Upon his arrival in Manila, the President praised Malaya for the sincerity and warmth of the welcome he received in that country and commented, " I can feel that the hearts of Malayans beat like that of the Filipinos" even as he expressed his hope that "we can look to a future of better and closer relations."

1962 Agreement on the abolition of Visa Requirements and Waiver of Visa Fees in Certain Cases - signed on July 31.
1963 On April 4, Pres. Diosdado Macapagal conferred with Prime Minister, and concurrently Minister for External Affairs, Tunku Abdul Rahman on matters affecting relations between the two countries. The Tunku was in Manila to attend the Second Meeting of the Association of Southeast Asia Foreign Ministers held on April 2 – 4.

On May 25, Prime Minister Tunku Abdul Rahman arrived in Manila for a brief stop-over en route to Tokyo for a meeting with Indonesian Pres. Sukarno. He was personally welcomed by Pres. Macapagal. Earlier, Pres. Sukarno had also made a stop-over in Manila where he and Pres. Macapagal agreed to go ahead with preparations for a tripartite summit meeting involving Indonesia, Malaya and the Philippines.

The Tripartite Summit Conference was held in Manila on July 30 – Aug. 5, whereby the three heads of state reaffirmed their determination to establish closest cooperation among their countries, and signed three documents, namely, Manila Declaration, Manila Accord and Joint Statement. In the said documents, MAPHILINDO, the acronym formed from the first syllables of each of the participating countries, was forged to establish the principle of joint action among the countries of the region for a specific purpose.

Effective Sept. 24, the Philippine Embassy in Kuala Lumpur closed down upon the host government’s orders, following a failure to reach a satisfactory settlement of the Philippines’ claim to North Borneo and the deferment of recognition of the successor state, the Federation of Malaya. For the next eight months (i.e. Sept 1963- May 1964), diplomatic and consular relations between the two countries were suspended.

Earlier, in his State of the Nation Address before the joint session of the Philippine Congress on Jan. 28, Pres. Macapagal outlined the highlights of Philippine foreign relations, which included the country’s claim on North Borneo. He said: " The most important action taken in the field of foreign relations in the past year was the official filing on 22 June 1962, with the United Kingdom, of the Philippine claim of sovereignty, jurisdiction, and proprietary ownership over North Borneo a successor-in-interest of the Sultan of Sulu. We are gratified at the goodwill shown by the United Kingdom in holding the talks in London in pursuance of our note on 22 June 1962, in which talks opportunity has been opened for a friendly scrutiny of the Philippine claim, taken with the security problems of Southeast Asia." He also announced that the Philippine Government had been made sole agents of the heirs of the Sultan of Sulu to negotiate over their claims to British Borneo. The claim had been discussed by Sultan Mohammad Ismail Kiram and Princess Tarhata Kiram with the President during their courtesy call on the latter on April 25, 1962.

1964 On May 18, the Philippines opened a Consulate in Kuala Lumpur following an agreement reached between Pres. Macapagal and Prime Minister Tunku Abdul Rahman during summit talks held on Feb. 10 – 12 in Phnom Penh. This was followed on April 30 by the exchange of Notes formalizing the agreement, coursed through the Government of Thailand, their designated representative.

Pres. Macapagal participated in a MAPHILINDO Summit in Tokyo where he acted as mediator between Indonesia and Malaysia in seeking a solution to the Malaysian issue. The tripartite summit was held on June 20 after Pres. Macapagal had for several times conferred separately with his two MAPHILINDO partners. Pres. Macapagal was in Tokyo on June 13 - 22.

1966 For two years, i.e. June 1966 – June 1968, the relations between the Philippines and Malaysia were calm and stable, during which time an Anti-Smuggling Agreement between the two countries was concluded. The two countries also actively participated in the formation of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN).

Governments of the two countries exchanged notes reaffirming their adherence to past agreements, namely the Manila Accord and the Joint Statement of 1963. The latter referred to the right of the Philippine Government to continue to pursue its claim to Sabah.

On June 3, the elevation to Embassy of the countries’ respective Consulates was formalized, with the designation of Philippine ambassador to Pakistan Romeo Busuego, and Malaysian ambassador to Germany Tan Sri Abdul Hamid Bin Jumat as ambassadors to Malaysia and the Philippines, respectively.

On the same day, the countries signed a communiqué declaring that both Governments "agreed to abide by the Manila Accord of July 31,1963 and with the Joint Statement accompanying it, for the peaceful settlement of the Philippines claim to Sabah", and that the two Governments "have also recognized the need of sitting together, for the purpose of clarifying the claim and discussing the means of settling it to the satisfaction of both parties."

A Malaysian delegation headed by Minister Tan Sri Hadji Sardon bin Hadji was given audience by Pres. Ferdinand Marcos on July 9 on the occasion of the inaugural flight of Malaysian Airways. During the call, Pres. Marcos expressed the Philippines’ desire to see the concept of ASA, and even that of MAPHILINDO, extended.

On Aug. 9, Pres. Marcos talked to Prime Minister Tunku Abdul Rahman over the telephone to formally inaugurate the overseas telephone system linking Manila with Kuala Lumpur, Singapore and Hong Kong. The 20-minute informal conversation focused on the renewed bilateral diplomatic relations.

1967 The foreign ministers of Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore and the Philippines signed the joint declaration establishing the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) on Aug. 7 in Bangkok. Foreign Affairs Secretary Narciso Ramos and Tun Abdul Razak signed for the Philippines and Malaysia, respectively.

On Aug. 25 – 26, Foreign Affairs Secretary Narciso Ramos was in Malaysia where he discussed bilateral issues with Deputy Prime Minister, concurrently Foreign Minister Tun Abdul Razak; attended the 4th ministerial meeting of ASEAN;, and represented the Philippines in the celebration of Malaysia’s 10th anniversary of independence. He also called on the Prime Minister to deliver a message from Pres. Marcos expressing optimism that outstanding problems between the two countries will be resolved in a spirit of brotherhood.

On Dec. 15 –19 Deputy Prime Minister Tun Abdul Razak was in Manila for a five-day goodwill visit. During his call on the President, he conveyed his Government’s enthusiasm on the forthcoming visit to Kuala Lumpur of the Philippines’ First Couple.

Anti-Smuggling Cooperation Agreement - signed on September 1.

1968 On Jan. 9 – 11, Pres. Marcos, accompanied by the First Lady and some Cabinet members, was in Kuala Lumpur as the first stop of his 10-day state visits to Malaysia, Indonesia and Thailand. In a joint communiqué issued at the end of the visit, the President and the Malaysian Prime Minister noted with satisfaction the efforts of their governments to cooperate in resolving existing bilateral problems, and agreed to review regularly Philippine-Malaysian relations. They also expressed hope that ASEAN would serve as the region’s vehicle to accelerate economic development and regional cooperation, and to achieve lasting peace in the region.

On March 29, Malaysian Crown Prince, Tunku Mahkota of Pahang, paid a courtesy call on President and Mrs. Marcos.

The Philippine Embassy in Kuala Lumpur closed again on Nov. 29, following an impasse on the Sabah controversy. Malaysia likewise pulled out its embassy in Manila signaling the collapse of diplomatic relations between the Philippines and Malaysia. The period from April - November had been busy, if tense, as the two countries held talks in Bangkok, trying to resolve the issue.

The diplomatic row had been precipitated by the so-called "Corregidor" and "Jabidah" affairs which the Philippines had claimed were internal matters, but which Malaysia insisted to be otherwise. Malaysia alleged, but failed to prove, that same were efforts of the Philippines to train special forces for infiltration and subversive activities in Sabah.

1969 After very quiet, unpublicized negotiations between its leaders, the two countries announced, during an ASEAN Foreign Ministers Meeting in December, the normalization of their diplomatic relations.

1970 Officers and staff of the Philippine Embassy started to return to Kuala Lumpur, and Ambassador Romeo Busuego, who had been re-designated as Philippine Ambassador to Malaysia, re-presented his Letter of Credence to the Yang di-Pertuan Agong in February.

On March 11, Tengku Ahmad Shah, Prince Tengku Mahkota of Pahang, who headed the Malaysian Polo team that competed in Manila, paid a courtesy call on Pres. Marcos.

1971 Malaysian Foreign Minister Tun Ismail Abdul Rahman attended the 4th ASEAN Foreign Ministers’ Meeting held in Manila on March 12 – 13. Pres. Marcos, in his keynote address at the meeting’s opening, proposed the establishment of an ASEAN common market, the setting up of a "limited free trade area on a selective commodity basis" and move toward the expansion of intra-regional trade.

1975 Malaysian Labor and Manpower Minister Datuk Lee San Choon, who was a guest of Labor Secretary Blas Ople, called on Pres. Marcos on April 17.

Foreign Affairs Secretary Carlos Romulo attended the 8th ASEAN Ministerial Meeting in Kuala Lumpur in May . (17-18?)

1976 Pres. Marcos flew to Kuala Lumpur on Jan. 16 to pay his last respects to the late Prime Minister Tun Abdul Razak , whom he referred to in his arrival statement as "the man who sought to dissipate tension which, in lesser hands, could have developed within our borders." He also noted that Tun Razak sought not only to build a stable and progressive Malaysian nation but also to contribute a giant share in building a strong ASEAN.

He expressed sympathy to His Majesty Tunku Yahya Petra and Prime Minister Hussein Onn.

Malaysian Foreign Minister Tengku Ahmed Rithaudeen attended the 9th ASEAN Ministerial Meeting held on June 24 –26 in Manila. During the meeting, ASEAN foreign ministers signed the ASEAN Declaration for Mutual Assistance on Natural Disaster and the Declaration of Principles to Combat the Abuse of Narcotic Drugs.

1977 Secretary of the United Malaysia National Organization, Datu Senu Abdul Rahman, called on Pres. Marcos on Feb. 1 to congratulate him for his success in the peaceful settlement of the Mindanao problem.

On Feb. 24, Foreign Minister Ahmed Rithaudeen was in Manila to attend a special session of the ASEAN Foreign Ministers marking the first anniversary of the Bali summit meeting. During this session, the ASEAN Preferential Trading Agreement was signed by the foreign ministers.

Pres. Marcos attended the Second ASEAN Summit hosted by Malaysia on Aug. 4–5 in Kuala Lumpur, where the leaders reaffirmed their commitment to the ASEAN Declaration and the Declaration of ASEAN Concord as the basis for regional cooperation.

On Aug. 11, upon arrival from his nine-day visit of Kuala Lumpur, Sabah and Labuan, the President disclosed the tripartite arrangement entered among the Philippines, Indonesia and Malaysia to effectively prevent eruptions of violence, transshipment of arms, and other disorders in the area.

1978 On March 11, Pres. Marcos received the Malaysian King, Yang di-Pertuan Agong in Malacanang.

The export to Malaysia of 10,000 metric tons of rice, in the spirit of ASEAN unity and cooperation, was approved by the President on April 14.

1980 Pres. Marcos received on Feb. 12 Malaysian Foreign Minister Tengku Ahmad Rithauddeen with whom he had an exchange on the latest world developments.
1981 Malaysian Foreign Minister Tengku Ahmad Rithauddeen attended the 14th ASEAN Foreign Ministers Meeting held in Manila on June 17-18.

1982 Manila hosted the 13th ASEAN Economic Ministers’ Meeting on May 20 which Malaysian Trade Minister Tengku Ahmad Rithaudeen.
Agreement for the Avoidance of Double Taxation and the prevention of Fiscal Evasion with Respect to Taxes on Income - signed on April 27.

1983 Dato Mohd Zahir Bin Haji Ismail, Speaker of the Dewan Rakyat of Malaysia attended the 5th General Assembly of the ASEAN Inter-Parliamentary Organization (AIPO) held in Manila and which Pres. Marcos keynoted in opening ceremonies held at the Malacanang Palace on April 5.
1984 Agriculture Minister Anwar Ibrahim headed the Malaysian delegation to the 6th Meeting of the ASEAN Agriculture and Forestry Ministers which opened in Manila on Oct. 6. with Pres. Marcos as keynote speaker. The President during his address stressed the need for a common agricultural policy aimed at making farming the foundation of "a viable ASEAN economic community" as he also pointed out that ASEAN should explore every avenue to cooperate towards dismantling trade barriers.

1985 Malaysian Foreign Minister Tengku Ahmad Rithaudeen visited Manila on April 11-12 mainly to hold bilateral talks with his counterpart, Acting Foreign Affairs Minister Pacifico A. Castro. He also called on Pres. Marcos who conceded that "certain issues" remained unresolved between Malaysia and the Philippines but that these difference did not mar their ties or deter their efforts to resolve them.

Acting Foreign Affairs Minister Pacifico Castro led the Philippine delegation to the 18th ASEAN Foreign Ministers’ Meeting held in Kuala Lumpur on July 8 – 9. In his opening remarks, the Foreign Affairs Minister quoted the Prime Minister of Malaysia on his observations concerning difficulties inherent in the competitive nature of ASEAN economies, as: "there are many areas where we can achieve some degree of complementary." During his call on the Malaysian Prime Minister, he conveyed the fraternal greetings of Pres. Marcos and the Filipino people.

1987 Air Services Agreement (ASA) - signed on April 12.
1993 The First Meeting of the Philippines-Malaysia Joint Commission for Bilateral Cooperation (JCM) was held in Manila in December.

The year the saw a string of Malaysian ministerial-level visits to the Philippines, as follows:

Minister of International Trade and Industry, Dato Seri Rafidah Aziz on Jan. 14-18;

Minister of Science and Technology, Datuk Law Hieng Ding on Jan. 29 – Feb. 1;

Minister of Defence, Datuk Najib Tun Razak on Sept. 22 – 24;

Minister of Primary Industries, Dato Seri Dr. Lim Keng Yaik on Nov. 29 – Dec. 1;

Deputy Prime Minister Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim on Dec. 7 – 9.

A Malaysian delegation headed by Deputy Secretary General of the Ministry of Human Resources, Tuan Hj. Saedon Bin Daud, upon the invitation of Labor and Employment Secretary Ma. Nieves Confesor, arrived in Manila on July 22 and discussed with Philippine labor officials issues and matter affecting Filipino workers in Malaysia.

Memorandum of Understanding on the Establishment of RP-Malaysia Joint Commission for Bilateral Cooperation - signed on July 22

1994 Memorandum of Understanding on Defense Cooperation - signed on September 26.
1995 The Second Meeting of the Joint Commission for Bilateral Cooperation Between Malaysia and the Philippines was held in Kuala Lumpur on March 28 – 30.

Having been appointed Secretary of Foreign Affairs in May, Honorable Domingo L. Siazon, Jr. went the usual round of courtesy calls on his counterparts, and made an official visit to Malaysia on June 24 –25. Apart from paying a call on Malaysian Foreign Minister Dato Seri Abdulla Ahmad Badawi, he also paid a courtesy call on the Honorable Prime Minister Dato Seri Mahathir Mohamad.

On Oct. 10 – 11 (?) Pres. Fidel V. Ramos made a working visit to Malaysia on the occasion of the Program on Jose Rizal and the presentation of Noli Me Tangere at the Putra World Trade Center.

Second Protocol to the 1967 Agreement on Anti-Smuggling - signed 0n March 29.

1996 The 3rd Meeting of the Joint Commission for Bilateral Cooperation between the Philippines and Malaysia was held in Manila.

Prime Minister Dato Seri Mahathir Mohamad attended the APEC Leaders Meeting held in Manila and Subic on Oct.

Memorandum of Agreement of the Establishment of the Turtle Island Heritage Protected Area - signed on May 31.

Air Services Agreement signed on April 12 1987 was amended by a Confidential Memorandum of Understanding signed on November 29.

1997 The State Government of Sabah implemented a special program covering Sabah and the Federal Territory of Labuan which granted amnesty and provided opportunities to illegal immigrants from the Philippines and Indonesia to legalize their employment as well as the stay of their dependents. The 1997 Regularization Program for Illegal Immigrants from Indonesia and the Philippines, implemented for six months (March 1- Aug 31), resulted in the legalization of some 120,000 Filipino workers and their dependents. To complement the Malaysian Regularization program, the Philippine Embassy set up and operated four Temporary Offices (Kota Kinabalu, Tawau. Sandakan, Labuan) to issue passports to undocumented Filipinos availing of the program.

Pres. Fidel V. Ramos attended the Second ASEAN Informal Summit held in Kuala Lumpur on Dec. 14 – 15m, where he also held bilateral discussions with Prime Minister Dato Seri Mahathir Mohamad.

1998 Pres. Joseph Ejercito Estrada attended the APEC Leaders’ Meeting held in Kuala Lumpur on Nov. 18 – 19. He also held bilateral talks with Prime Minister Dato Seri Mahathir Mohamad.
1999 Foreign Minister Dato Seri Syed Hamid Albar, who had been appointed as Foreign Minister earlier in January visited the Philippines on Nov. 4 – 5 to pay a courtesy call on and start bilateral discussions with Foreign Affairs Secretary Domingo L. Siazon, Jr.

2000 The 4th Meeting of the Joint Commission for Bilateral Cooperation Between Malaysia and the Philippines was held in Kuala Lumpur on March 1 – 3. The JCM was preceded by the 4th Joint Committee Meeting on Border Cooperation on Feb. 28, and the 2nd Meeting of the Malaysia-Philippines Joint Committee on the Assistance for Socio-Economic Advancement of the Muslim Filipinos on Feb. 29.
2001
March 7 - 9. Presidential special envoys, Ambassador Paul G. Dominguez, Special Envoy to Brunei, Indonesia and Malaysia, and Presidential Adviser for Regional Development, and Honorable Roberto R. Romulo, Senior Adviser to the President on International Competitiveness are on a working visit in Kuala Lumpur to convey a message from Her Excellency President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo for Malaysia’s leadership, the business sector and the Filipino Community in Malaysia.

Malaysian Minister of International Trade and Industry Dato' Seri Rafidah Aziz, together with 40 Malaysian businessmen visited Philippines.

April 8-12. Tourism Secretary Richard "Dick" J. Gordon was in Kuala Lumpur to attend the 50th Pacific Asia Travel Association Conference.

May 13. Labor secretary Patricia Sto. Tomas was in Kuala Lumpur to attend the ASEAN Labor Ministers' Meeting.

May 18. Official visit to Malaysia of Vice President and Secretary of Foreign Affairs, Teofisto T. Guingona, Jr.

June 27-29 . Former President Fidel V. Ramos and Finance Secretary Jose Camacho were in Kuala Lumpur to participate in the Tenth World Economic Development Congress (WEDC) and Tenth Annual Asian Leaders Congress (ALF) held at Putra World Trade Center, Kuala Lumpur.

June 28. Malaysia's Defence Minister, Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak arrived in Manila to hold talks with President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo and Defence Secretary Angelo Reyes.

August 7-9. State visit to Malaysia of President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo. The President was accompanied by a delegation of 150 Philippine government officials, businessmen and media representatives.

Sept. 7-10. Secretary Richard J. Gordon was in Kuala Lumpur to attend a bilateral meeting with the Malaysia's Minister of Tourism and to represent the Philippine Government at the Opening Ceremonies of the XXI Southeast Asian Games on 8 September.

December 20. Malaysian Foreign Minister Dato' Seri Hamid Albar visited Manila, together with the Indonesian Foreign Minister, to discuss the turnover of former Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (ARMM) governor Nur Misuari, who was caught together with his seven aides, by the Malaysian authorities in Jampiras, Sabah, for illegal entry on 24 November 2001.

2002 06 January. Turnover of former ARMM governor Nur Misuari by Malaysian authorities to Philippine authorities after he was caught on 24 November 2002 in Sabah for illegal entry.
27 February. Visit of Special Envoy to Malaysia, Indonesia and Brunei Darussalam Paul G. Dominguez who called on Sabah Chief Minister Datuk Chong Kah Kiat; Deputy Chief Minister Dato' Tham Yip Shim; and former Chief Minister and current assemblyman Yong Teck Lee.

28 February. Visit of Atty. Lilia V. de Lima, Director General of Philippine Economic Zone Authority, to Kuala Lumpur to promote investments in Philippine economic zones.

08 March. Visit of former Philippine President Fidel V. Ramos to Kuala Lumpur.

25-26 March. Department of Foreign Affairs Undersecretary Lauro L. Baja, Jr., headed the Philippine delegation to the Fourth ASEAN-India Senior Officials Meeting in Kuala Lumpur.

03-06 April. Visit of diplomatic mission to Malaysia headed by Secretary Eduardo R. Ermita, Presidential Adviser for Special Concerns. This mission met with Malaysian Foreign Minister Datuk Seri Syed Hamid Albar to present a progress report on the implementation of the 1996 peace agreement; to seek support for the recognition of the MNLF Executive Council; to report on the results of the plebiscite and elections in the ARMM; to apprise the OIC on the developments on the case against former ARMM governor Nur Misuari.

16-18 April. Visit of Presidential Adviser for Mindanao Jesus G. Dureza to Kuala Lumpur in preparation for the National EAGA Secretariats meeting to be held in Davao in June; First BIMP-EAGA Customs, Immigration, Quarantine and Security Conference on 14-16 May 2002; and 10th BIMP-EAGA Senior Officials Meeting on the 3rd week of May in Manado, Indonesia.

07 May. Working visit of H.E. President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo to Kuala lumpur to address the 35th International General Meeting of Pacific Basin Economic Council (PBEC). During the visit, she held a four-eyed meeting with PM Mahathir. The two leaders were presented with the GRP-MILF Agreement on Implementing Guidelines on the Humanitarian Rehabilitation and Development Aspects of the GRP-MILF Tripoli Agreement on peace of 2001. They also witnessed the signing of the Trilateral Agreement on Information Exchange and establishment of Communication Procedures.

19-22 May. Visit of Secretary of Interior and Local Government Jose D. Lina to Kuala Lumpur to attend the 2nd Annual ASEAN Ministerial Meeting for Transnational Crime.

19-22 June. Visit of secretary of Environment and Natural resources Heherson T. Alvarez to attend the ASEAN Ministerial Meeting on Haze

20 June. Visit of Philippine Congressman Sherwin Gachalian to Kuala Lumpur to attend the UMNO General Assembly.

04-12 June. "Exercise Land Malphi 04/2002" - military exercise between 62 Filipino and 74 Malaysian military personnel at Fort Magsaysay, Nueva Ecija, Philippines



http://www.philembassykl.org.my/overview.htm

 
 
 

 
 
 
 

The February “Coup d’etat” and the Left’s alliance with the Military


MELENCIO Sonny
18 April 2006


ON February 24, a Friday, the Philippine media reported an aborted coup d’etat allegedly launched by rebel military forces against the government of Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo. It was supposed to be headed by young officers of the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) led by former senator and colonel Gregorio ‘Gringo’ Honasan. He is said to command a group of junior officers and soldiers which has formed an alliance with the Communist Party of the Philippines and its armed wing, the New People’s Army. A few days after, the government slapped a bounty of P5 million for the arrest of Honasan who had gone into hiding since that Friday. The government also released a list of over 50 people named as co-conspirators in the coup attempt, although the prize money was only reserved for Honasan who topped the list.

The military hierarchy, however, does not want to call it a coup - not even an aborted one. AFP chief Generoso Senga reported that Brig. Gen. Danilo Lim of the scout rangers regiment visited him at his office that Friday morning, informing him that their troops and some other units were planning to join the opposition rallies that day. Senga disapproved of the plan and immediately put Lim under AFP “custody”. The whole day, no army unit was able to join the protests in the streets, although several SMS or text messages, saying that some army divisions were preparing to join the rallies, circulated till evening.

The day ended up with three separate huge rallies of opposition groups violently dispersed by the police. At around 9 a.m., the first group of 5,000 demonstrators were bombarded with water cannons and clubbed with truncheons by hundreds of riot police stationed at the Edsa Shrine. The second group, whose number swelled to 15,000 during a spirited march toward the People’s Power Monument at noontime, suffered the same fate before they could reach the monument. The third rally, staged by demonstrators who regrouped after the earlier dispersals, was again broken up by the police at half past eight in the evening.

At noon of Friday, President Arroyo declared a “state of emergency” which called on the entire AFP and the police to crush the so-called rebellion and lawless violence in the streets. She talked about a tactical alliance between the military rebels and the CPP-NPA aimed at bringing down her government. She bewailed the conspiracy of the so-called Rightists and Leftists which had cooked up a plot to depose her, including the aborted march in the streets and the withdrawal of support by some military units. Arroyo specifically railed against an alliance that was supposed to have been sealed between the Magdalo group in the AFP and the CPP-NPA.

Magdalo was the name used by a group of soldiers and their officers who staged a military rebellion in July 2003, popularly known as the Oakwood mutiny. Oakwood referred to a posh hotel in the business district of Metro-Manila which was booby trapped and seized for 20 hours by 300 rebel soldiers who demanded both the resignation of Arroyo and the institution of badly-needed reforms within the AFP. The Oakwood mutiny ended in the surrender of the rebel soldiers. While most of the mutineers have been released since then, 31 Magdalo leaders are still in detention, facing criminal charges both in civilian and military courts. Since December, five had escaped from jail, including Lt. Lawrence San Juan who was rearrested on February 21.


Alliance of Magdalo and various left groups


The arrest of Lt. San Juan was amply covered by the Philippine media. He was taken by military intelligence units while in transit, after an alleged meeting with representatives of the CPP-NPA in the northern part of the country. Seized from San Juan was a flash disk containing the minutes of this meeting between seven Magdalo officers on the one hand, and seven CPP-NPA representatives on the other. The minutes recorded the so-called final talks between the two groups. A formal agreement was said to have been signed by the two camps announcing the establishment of a tactical alliance aimed at ousting President Arroyo. Moreover, there was also an agreement around the formation of a new government (under a Transition Council) and the initial program of action that will be undertaken by this new state authority.

The AFP has since then posted on the internet the transcripts of the meeting between Magdalo and the CPP-NPA leaders, entitled “Document Exploitation Report: Re Magdalo-CPP Alliance”. The government has also produced a video documentary named “Conspiracy of Betrayal” which “exposed” not only the conspiracy of the Magdalo soldiers and the CPP-NPA but also the connivance between the former and other left groups. It is no secret among serious political observers in the country that an alliance for the ouster of President Arroyo has indeed been forged by several anti-Arroyo groups, including the left and the military rebels, since the escalation of the political crisis in July last year. It is also no secret that the shadowy organizations of young officers in the AFP have been talking not only with the CPP-NPA but with other revolutionary groups in the country.

According to the spokesman of President Arroyo, the grand plot to overthrow the government was hatched by the military rebels under the codename "Oplan Hackle," an alleged blueprint of a series of ouster moves against Arroyo that included the aborted coup of February 24. The February 24 plot involved the massing up of tens of thousands of people and the withdrawal of support from the Arroyo government by the military. The plan also disclosed a number of alternate scenarios if the coup failed - there would be another mass up in March which would call for Arroyo’s resignation, and should this fail, another big mass action will be staged on May 1, Labor Day, where both the left and the military rebels will again attempt to grab power.

The “walk in the park” tactic
 

What happened on February 24 is indeed an aborted coup. It was supposed to be an action mainly initiated by the military rebels but also aimed at soliciting the support of the AFP hierarchy toward a “withdrawal of support” from the Arroyo government. One section of the military rebels, represented by young officers from various military commands, tried to push for this scenario which was reminiscent of the Edsa II withdrawal of support by the entire AFP command to then president Joseph Estrada.

This tactic was blithely called “walk in the park” by the military rebels since it would not entail the firing of even a single shot. But the negotiations with the AFP generals broke down as the generals decided to stick it out with President Arroyo. The tactic backfired, and soon after, the hunter became the hunted as the top brass called on the military to secure under its “custody” the main coup plotters.

The “walk in the park” tactic was the same tactic applied by another group of military rebels on Sunday, February 26, which was supposed to be a sequel to the Friday’s aborted coup. A quiet Sunday afternoon was broken by the news of an unfolding mutiny by a group of marine soldiers protesting the relief of their commander. The head of the unit, Col. Ariel Querubin, gathered his troops in front of the Marines headquarters and called for people’s power support, while other marine units arrived in military tanks to repel them. During the six-hour standoff, reports came that military rebels in several service units were just waiting in the wings to support the action. However, this latest attempt to ignite a coup and a people’s power uprising ended up quickly, when around 15 Marines officers took a vote on how they would resolve the impasse. Most of them voted to resolve the issue “internally”, i.e., to call it a day and to quietly return to the barracks as if nothing had happened.

There is something inherently flawed in the tactic of securing the support of the military hierarchy to institute even a regime change, especially if the military rebels pursuing this tactic have been calling for a radical system change, and not a mere change in the presidency. These are the same military rebels who have come into an agreement with various Left groups that the next people’s power uprising would not be “another Edsa” where representatives of the elite merely took turns in grabbing power for their own ends. There is no doubt that with the participation of the top brass, the ouster of Arroyo will be a sheer “walk in the park”. But what a wasted exercise it will be since it will be “another Edsa” where the military generals and the civilian trapos will again be in control of the new state of affairs. However, events have proven that even ousting Arroyo at this stage is not possible through a unified military action since the top brass is beholden to a president who has showered them with so much cash and privileges in life in lieu of their support. Moreover, the generals do not see any other trapo leader who can match the offers from the presidential palace.

Despite the aborted coups and the fugitive status of some of the alleged coup leaders, the rebels still claim that their forces are intact and ready to take more decisive actions against the Arroyo regime. This may be true but the lessons of the February “coups” should not be lost to the military rebels. Soliciting the support of the AFP hierarchy is a formula for disaster for those who want to pursue genuine changes in the military and in society. Maintaining the regular flow of the chain of command (even at the senior officers’ level) paralyzes any attempt at rebellion, as in the case of the Marines standoff on February 26.

The tactic of a unified withdrawal of support from the Arroyo regime, even as the first phase toward a “calibrated split” within the military during succeeding phases of the struggle, is a defeatist approach for any group that claims to be revolutionary. The prospect of a military rebellion depends on the capacity and will of the military rebels to break the command and to dare defy the existing lines of authority within the AFP. Any revolutionary would know that the reactionary state institution cannot be reformed, and the only revolutionary perspective applicable to an elite army organization lies in breaking up its ranks and in winning over the progressive sections to the side of the masses.


Breakup of the monolith
 

The military rebels within the AFP have developed to the extent that they are not only a major and crucial force, but, more so, an enduring component in the struggle for substantial change in the Philippines today. Whereas before the AFP has always been seen as a monolithic institution that advances and safeguards the interests of the elite in the country, there is now a layer within this reactionary army that counters this order of things. Its formation and growth is a phenomenon that resulted from the twists and turns of the Philippine political scene since the early 1980s. The phenomenon is based on the emergence and development of groupings within the AFP that reflect the interests of the junior officers and the enlisted men, rather than the hierarchy of the military institution. It points to a break in a once monolithic and rigidly-controlled structure of the AFP. The process of the breakup of the AFP monolith began in 1986 when an open military rebellion erupted in opposition to the Marcos regime and the military’s chain of command (starting from Marcos who was the commander-in-chief to AFP Chief General Fabian Ver and other generals in the AFP). But the first sign of a crack within the AFP appeared during the formation of the Reform the Armed Forces Movement (RAM) in the second half of the 1980s. The public only came to know of this movement in 1985 on the alumni day of the Philippine Military Academy in Baguio City. During the parade march at the PMA grounds, members of the PMA Class 1971 unfolded a long streamer emblazoned with the word “We Belong”. When asked by the media what it meant, leaders of Class ’71 explained that “We Belong” was the motto of the recently formed RAM.

RAM played a crucial role in the mutiny that spurred the first Edsa people’s power uprising in the Philippines. But after the downfall of the Marcos dictatorial regime, the RAM movement was used repeatedly by the anti-Aquino faction of the elite for their own ends, i.e., in order to stage successive coups against the Aquino administration in their bid for power. All these coup attempts failed miserably in the end.


RAM-SFP-YOU
 

In November 1986, the RAM officers mounted their first coup. The coup collapsed within 27 hours after it began. The rebel troops, realizing that they were going to lose in a firefight, decided to return to barracks. This was followed by the August 1987 coup which also collapsed and ended in the capture of RAM leader Gringo Honasan four months after. During this period, RAM had formed an alliance with the Marcos loyalist forces in the military which called themselves the Soldiers of the Filipino People (SFP).

In August 1988, a new organization of young officers in the AFP was formed. It was called the Young Officers Union (YOU). Its membership was younger than RAM — it recruited from the PMA alumni classes 1978 to 1988 and in the latter class, it had over 60 percent of the alumni joining the organization. Lt. Diosdado Valeroso of PMA Class 1982 became its leader. YOU was considered more radical than RAM. Instead of merely relating with rebel military forces, YOU sought dialogues and an alliance with the revolutionary left. During the initial formation of YOU, a former secretary-general of the Communist Party of the Philippines provided a series of lectures for the organization on topics such as US imperialism and radical nationalism. RAM later on established a tripartite alliance which would involve the SFP and the YOU. It was simply called RAM-SFP-YOU.

The December 1989 coup was the most relentless and daunting of the series of coups staged by military rebels (now under the RAM-SFP-YOU alliance) during the entire period of the Cory Aquino administration. The military rebels almost won this time. The coup was launched in the early morning of December 1 when units of scout rangers and marines massed up at Fort Bonifacio in the southern part of Metro Manila and thereafter captured the nearby Villamor Air Base. They also captured Channel 4, a government TV station, but could not transmit because the retreating security forces sabotaged the transmitters. Early morning the next day, they flew a helicopter and T-28 bombers which bombed Malacanang palace. Rebel aircrafts also bombed the two camps in Edsa - Camp Crame and Camp Aguinaldo. Hundreds of rebel soldiers armed with antitank weapons also set up roadblocks outside Malacanang.

What changed the course of events was the “persuasion flights” that the US Air Force made in response to requests from the Aquino government coursed through the US embassy in Manila. At noon of December 2, US phantom fighters flew over Manila and hovered at rebel strongholds. The military rebels retreated and marched toward the country’s financial district and occupied the towers of Ayala.

The next day, after a futile attack at Camp Aguinaldo, the rebels surrendered to the government army forces at noontime. They were asked to return to barracks, and then defense secretary Fidel Ramos mete out the final disciplinary actions against most of the rebels - 30 push-ups. Some of the rebel officers, however, were put in jail inside military stockades, together with some leaders of the revolutionary Left captured by the military at that time. The imprisoned military rebels and personalities from the revolutionary Left were able to mingle inside the stockades and fraternize with each other. This state of things would play a major role in the opening up of links between the military rebels and the left groups.

Rebolusyonaryong Alyansang Makabansa

In 1990, RAM cut its ties with the SFP while maintaining close alliance with the left-leaning YOU. RAM renamed itself the Rebolusyonaryong Alyansang Makabansa (Revolutionary Nationalist Alliance) and called for the implementation of genuine land reform, the dismantling of the US military bases in the Philippines, and the legalization of the Communist Party of the Philippines. The change of name is significant as it heralds the first attempt of the organization to transform itself from a military faction into a movement for social revolution. The new RAM started to recruit not only from the ranks of the military, but also among the students and the urban poor sectors, especially taxi and tricycle drivers.

From 1990 onward, RAM and YOU kept the dialogues going with the revolutionary Left both through secret meetings with its underground leaders and through fraternization in the prison yards with jailed Left leaders. From that time on, its relations with the revolutionary Left grew and developed.

It was said that during the succeeding administrations after Cory Aquino’s, i.e., Fidel Ramos’ (1992-1998) and Joseph Estrada’s (1998-2001), the military rebels were effectively “neutralized” by the government. There was not even a single coup attempt during this period. However, forces belonging to RAM and YOU (especially the latter) did join some rallies, demonstrations and activities called by the Left, as in the February 1994 protests against Ramos’ imposition of a one-peso tax on gasoline sales.

Magdalo

Thirteen years after the last coup attempt, in July 2003, another military intervention erupted. This was the Oakwood mutiny that transpired during the administration of Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo, who became president two years before by virtue of a people’s uprising that deposed Joseph Estrada. The mutiny lasted for 20 hours — after which, the mutineers surrendered under a deal that would release the soldiers and only imprison the so-called ringleaders, the junior officers.

The entire drama of the mutiny was caught on TV, putting into focus the 300 junior officers and soldiers who took over the Oakwood hotel while continually lambasting the Arroyo administration and the AFP for its failure to stop corruption in the military and in the government. The Magdalo leaders also alleged that the spate of bombings in Davao that claimed the lives of many civilians at that time was perpetrated by the AFP under the order of then defense secretary Angelo Reyes.

The mutiny was a turning point in the progress of radicalization among the military. The Magdalo forces constituted a new generation of military radicals different from that of the RAM-YOU, although some of its leaders came from these two groups too. Magdalo was headed by PMA graduates mostly belonging to Class 1990s and beyond. Most of the leaders projected on TV during the Oakwood takeover were honor cadets of their class. Army Capt. Gerardo Gambala, who was the main leader of the mutiny, was the valedictorian of PMA Class 1995. Navy Lt. Antonio Trillanes, a young naval officer, was a very articulate spokesman of Magdalo at that time. Most of the Magdalo leaders were not only prominent in their class but belonged to poor families who managed to send them to the military academy because of government scholarships.

The mutiny showcased the emergence of an independent and conscious force that pursues the interests of the middle and lower ranks of the military establishment. The demands put forward by the Oakwood mutineers consisted mostly of better pay and treatment of rank-and-file soldiers. From that instance on, the Magdalo forces were able to shake off the RAM stigma of being a mere stooge of the elite forces in the defense department and the AFP. It was a stigma associated with its relationship with former defense secretary Juan Ponce Enrile and some anti-Aquino generals during the series of coup attempts staged by RAM in the eighties. One month after the mutiny, a nationwide poll survey reported that 55 percent or majority of Filipinos believed that the mutineers had valid reasons for their action.


Class Analysis in the AFP
 

The late Captain Rene Jarque, one of the ideologues of the military rebels, wrote about how the AFP hierarchy would react to clamor about radical changes in the government and in the military. It is instructive to note that the pecking order in the military also represents the class differentiation within.

According to Jarque, at the top of the heap are the generals who are the most compromising among the AFP officers because they are also the most corrupted by the system. They favor the status quo and will not want to lose the privileges they enjoy in the system. Even in terms of ousting Arroyo, they know they have much to lose if the president goes. Thus, Jarque wrote, “the status quo and neutrality... is in the generals’ best interest. With so much to lose, it is unlikely that [they] will intervene. If they do, it will only be if victory is assured and their interests protected as was the case in 2001.”

While the generals may represent the “ruling class” within the AFP structure, the middle classes may be represented by the senior officers down to the junior officers. The senior officers - the majors to colonels, or those who are already in the battalion and brigade levels in the army - are protective of their careers, as they already have invested at least 12 years in the military service. They are more inclined to follow the generals and be content with the status quo, while wanting some reforms. There are rare exceptions, according to Jarque, consisting of “those who may rise and lead the disgruntled junior officers and soldiers when the situation is ripe.” On the other hand, according to Jarque, the junior officers - the lieutenants and captains, from the new 2nd lieutenant to the senior captains with seven or more years in the service - are the most idealistic group in the armed forces because of their youth. However, “they are too low in the chain of command to be able to lead a ‘constructive’ group and will be closely watched by military intelligence.”

Finally, the “working class” within the AFP consists of the enlisted personnel - the privates, corporals and sergeants “that form the workhorse of the armed forces”. According to Jarque, they are essentially “economic soldiers” who only depend on their salaries for income. Thus, they are more worried about day to day survival. Military records have shown that for almost two decades now, the rank and file soldiers are receiving P60 (a little more than a US dollar) daily subsistence allowance and P240 ($5) as combat pay a month. This amounts to something like P9,000 ($175) or less per month, almost similar with the workers’ minimum pay in Metro Manila. Compared to the US soldiers, Filipino soldiers do not receive much benefits and emoluments outside their salary. And compared to the top brass of the AFP, who receive monthly millions of pesos of grease money from syndicate sources alone (gambling, prostitution, drugs and the likes), the ordinary soldier is totally dependent on his meager salary for survival. It is for this reason that, according to Jarque, the ordinary soldiers, if organized, can be a “very powerful bloc” within the military.


The Venezuelan experience
 

While an alliance between the Left and the military rebels is a new phenomenon in the Philippines, this seems to be the norm in other countries, particularly in many parts of Latin America and especially during periods of revolutionary conflagration in society. One recent example is the alliance of civilians and military forces in Venezuela. The ascent to power of former colonel Hugo Chavez is a model that is being discussed among leaders of the military rebels in the Philippines today. The Left has provided the rebels with books and articles about Chavez and the ongoing Venezuelan revolution, and also video films of the Bolivarian revolution.

In February 1989, in what has become known as the Caracazo, thousands of people in the capital city of Venezuela rose in revolt against the government of Carlos Andres Perez. The uprising was triggered by the doubling of bus fares in the early Monday morning of February 27. The uprising was first characterized by irate commuters overturning buses and burning them. Soon after, the rebellion became generalized, with widespread looting of shops and supermarkets. While a mass insurrection had been anticipated by revolutionary groups as the main vehicle toward seizure of power, they were caught unaware of the Caracazo uprising. They did not expect that it would erupt that soon, and it would take the character of widespread street actions and “expropriation” (looting in layman’s term) of products of the workers’ labor. Even Chavez’ group within the Venezuelan army (the Movimiento Bolivariano Revolucionario or MBR-200) was stunned by the quick turn of events. President Perez called on the troops to smash the uprising and slaughter those who had taken over the shops and were still in the streets. A number of soldiers belonging to the MBR disobeyed the order to fire at the people. One of them was reportedly gunned down upon the order of generals loyal to Perez.

The uprising was crushed before it could develop into an insurrection. The official figure of those killed was 372, but the more probable figure is over two thousand in Caracas alone, according to a sociology professor in Venezuela who studied the event. But despite the killings, the resistance did not wane. The rebellious junior officers led by Chavez continued with the secret organizing of forces within the Venezuelan military. It would take at least three years before Chavez and his group would be able to mount the 1992 mutiny.

The military rebellion in 1992 was not a purely military action. Even before this Chavez-led rebellion, there was a formal alliance between the Chavez group and the revolutionary groups, such as the Partido Revolucionario Venezuelano or PRV and the La Causa R. The blueprint of the rebellion is the combination of military action with strong civilian support focused at laying siege and seizing control of key state institutions and media centers. This combined military and civilian action took place in some areas outside Caracaz. This did not happen in the capital city as the civilian forces under the various revolutionary groups allied with MBR failed to show up at the appointed time to link up with the military rebels.

The military rebellion failed but it opened a new chapter in the Bolivarian revolution. The surrender of Chavez did not demoralize the mass movement, also because Chavez’ statement on television urging the rebel troops to lay down their arms “for the moment” (por ahora) gave a note of anticipation to all. The people knew that the battle was not yet over. Chavez and his co-conspirators in the army were imprisoned, but the mass struggle continued and through unrelenting public pressure, President Perez was impeached and replaced by a new liberal government which released Chavez and other rebel leaders in due time.

This boosted the confidence of the mass movement and led to the unification of the fractured groups of the Left. The Left coalesced in a group called Polo Patriatico. Using the popularity of Chavez, they organized a few months’ tour of Venezuela where Chavez could explain directly to the people the program of reforms they were seeking. This set of reforms was soon enshrined in the Bolivarian Constitution that would be adopted later on by the Venezuelan people. Aside from campaigning for radical reforms, the Left groups formed an electoral coalition called Movimiento Quinta Republica (MVR), or the Fifth Republic Movement, to launch Chavez’ bid for presidency.

Although Chavez’ ascent to power was through an election, it could not be said that the revolutionary groups in Venezuela only pursued an electoralist tactic. The tactic goes beyond the usual electioneering - it is a combination of intensified street actions by the masses, intensified education and politicization of people, and organizing of the workers and the poor in the barrio level. From the Caracazo uprising of 1989 till Chavez’ victory from the presidential polls in 1998, the number of demonstrations and street protests was averaging two per day. This hammers the point that it was the upsurge of the mass struggles that really brought Chavez to power via the elections.


Comparisons
 

The radicalism among young officers in the AFP today is often compared with the military radicalism in Venezuela. That is why it is important to find out exactly how the Philippine radicalization fares in comparison with Venezuelan experience. Walden Bello, a renowned anti-globalization activist, wrote that the military radicalism in Venezuela, or other Latin American countries, is different compared to the Philippines in a number of ways:

First, unlike the Philippine army, the army in Venezuela has a revolutionary tradition. It is the tradition imparted by Simon Bolivar, a revolutionary general who fought against the Spanish colonizers and liberated a great portion of Latin America in the 1800s. The anti-imperialist stance of Simon Bolivar has long been etched in the memory of Latin American people, including in the Venezuelan Army which has a number of camps named after the great hero.

The Philippine military does not have a revolutionary nationalist heritage. The AFP is organized in 1935 during the period of direct American colonization of the country. Initially, it acted as an auxiliary force to support US occupation troops, then it was tasked to maintain public order during the colonial period. It backed up the US forces fighting the Japanese invaders during the Second World War, and since the granting of Philippine independence in 1946, the AFP has “maintained very close links to the US military via aid and training programs.”

Second, according to Belo, the Venezuelan army adopted the Andres Bello program in the 1970s, which means sending military officers to the university to pursue their degrees. He added, “The Philippine military has not had the equivalent of an Andres Bello program, where officers were systematically immersed in the civilian educational system and consistently exposed not only to the latest technical and managerial concepts but also to progressive ideas and movements.”

Bello also noted a higher proportion of poor people in the Venezuelan officer corps. However, this is becoming the case now in the Philippines, according to a lawyer handling the court case of the Magdalo officers. In a TV talk show where he was the guest, the lawyer observed that the PMA, which is where the officer corps of the AFP trains, is the “new UP today”, meaning it has replaced the University of the Philippines as a hotbed of student radicalism, and as a university that houses more scholars coming from poor families.

Third, according to Bello, in contrast to Venezuela, where the military had an ambivalent relationship with the political Left - fighting them as guerrillas on the one hand and absorbing their ideas and proposals for change on the other hand - in the Philippines, the military sees the NPA as its enemy unto death, both institutionally and ideologically. We have to clarify though that the radicalized military rebels in Venezuela also viewed the Maoist Left, represented by Bandera Roja (Red Flag) which had been waging a guerrilla war in the Venezuelan countryside for decades, as a force that they could not ally with. Chavez, who reached out to all the Left groups in Venezuela, drew the line against Bandera Roja, saying that he never talked for more than five minutes with any leader of this group.

Compared to that in the Philippines, radicalism in the Venezuelan military has a long history. As early as 1977, Chavez had formed a short-lived revolutionary armed group called the Liberation Army of the Venezuelan People. Then in 1982, as a lecturer in a military school, he formed the aforementioned group MBR. This type of radicalism is not only framed around a nationalist ideology, but develops around Marxist ideas that circulated among a number of officers in the Venezuelan army - an ideology which is unheard of even among the radicals in the AFP today. Hugo’s elder brother, Adan Chavez, Venezuelan ambassador to Cuba today, was the one who provided political education to the Chavez group. Adan was a leader of the Partido Revolucionario Venezuelano, an open revolutionary organization set up by Douglas Bravo, a guerrilla leader who split from the Communist Party of Venezuela in 1966. Adan introduced Chavez to Bravo in 1982.

On the other hand, unlike Venezuela, the radicalization of the young officers within the AFP developed almost on its own, i.e., without an infusion of Marxist or socialist philosophy from the outside. It’s a radicalization that has sprung up as a reaction to the rotten system and a product of a disintegrating institution.


The major alliance
 

For the first time in the Philippines, radical groups arose among the ranks of young officers in the AFP structure, groups that are already allying themselves with the Left forces in order to establish a transitional revolutionary government that will implement a program of radical reforms in society. The alliance is founded on a unity platform consisting of immediate economic relief and political reforms that aim to dismantle the neo-liberal economic policies and the elite rule in the country. These represent giant openings and opportunities for the advance of the working class revolution in the country.

The advance of the revolution and the seizure of political power from the elite class by the working masses have become ominous today through a combination of intense mass struggles and a military uprising. The transition government that will be set up can be founded on the alliance of the revolutionary forces and the military rebels. Until now, the idea of a transition government is based on a sharing of power among groups and classes that would bring about Arroyo’s downfall. It is bound to include even opposition figures belonging to the elite. But the concrete character and composition of the transition government will vary depending on the strength and capacity of the major alliance between the revolutionary Left and the military rebels.

This is both a historic opportunity and a historic challenge for the Left today. If in the past, the major alliances built by the revolutionary forces in order to oust previous despicable regimes are alliances or united front with the bourgeois opposition - the major alliance posed today is that of one between the revolutionary forces and the military rebels. Why should it constitute a major alliance today?

Firstly, because of the crucial role that the military rebellion plays in overthrowing the reactionary state and in building revolutionary power. No revolution will be successful without breaking up the resistance of the elite military, winning over the progressive soldiers to the side of the revolution, or at the very least, neutralizing the military forces.

Secondly, because the alliance with the rank and file soldiers, including with the junior officers, is a strategic one. The ordinary soldiers and the junior officers are strategic allies of the working class revolution. The ordinary soldiers may represent the working class layer within the military structure, while the junior officers, on the other hand, represent the layer of petty bourgeoisie in the class hierarchy of the AFP.

Thirdly, because the rebel groups within the military have gradually grown in number and are capable of undertaking swift but decisive actions that are crucial in the final seizure of power. The military rebels are also developing closer political attachment with the Left groups. This points to the possibility of close political collaboration among the Left and military rebels as the struggle continues.

The military rebellion is in fact not only a military question but a political one. For the revolutionary forces, it is a question of political tactics. All successful revolutions have advanced their own set of tactics aimed at breaking up the reactionary military institution, arousing and winning over to its side the radicalized sections of the military, or in the minimum, neutralizing the reactionary armed forces. It has always been the aim of the revolution to develop the capacity of the exploited and oppressed masses to arm and defend themselves and to win over to their side the ranks of the rebel soldiers, as what happened during the great Russian revolution of 1917.

An insurrection does not only constitute the direct actions of the civilian mass. Historically, its form includes a combination of general workers’ strike and the mobilization of the masses on the streets. But a natural component of an insurrection is a military mutiny that combines with a mass uprising. If there is no military uprising, or if there is no break up of the military, it is almost impossible for a revolution to succeed or for the revolutionary forces to seize political power. This is the conscious tactics applied by the Bolsheviks in their drive to seize political power during the Russian revolution of 1917. At an early stage, the Bolsheviks deployed their key cadres, such as Alexandra Kollontai — one of the first feminist Marxists who became the only woman member of Lenin’s government in 1917 — who visited the war fronts to do propaganda and organize the soldiers. The role of the revolutionary forces in organizing a successful military rebellion is nothing but crucial. Like any other aspect of the tasks of the revolution, there is a need for revolutionary leadership, a vanguard party, to ensure that this component of the revolution will take off and develop.


Our Key Tasks
 

In the light of opportunities that have opened up in terms of developing an alliance of the Left and the military rebels toward the strategic goal of ending elite rule in the country, the Left has to consciously carry out four related tasks that will ensure the success of the alliance.

First, it is crucial that the Left itself hurdle the disunity and fragmentation of its forces and attain a higher level of unity among its ranks. Each of the so-called political blocs of the Left should understand that there exists no single bloc that has the capacity to win the revolution today. The forging of a strong united front with the military rebels is premised on the capacity of the Left to unite and to constitute itself as a broad formation that can negotiate with any political groupings now. This is where the project of building a broad left coalition like Laban ng Masa is of utmost importance. It is no wonder that concrete and effective steps in the strengthening of the Left-military alliance are now carried out primarily through this coalition which brings together the principal Left leaders and the various political blocs in the country.

Second, we need to consciously establish a higher level of unity with the military rebels. This unity should not only be based on coordinating each one’s initiatives but should aim at the following:

∙ A unity in the agenda and platform of the transitional revolutionary government. This guarantees the basis of a strategic alliance that we want to open up with them. A unity in the platform will ensure that in the new government, where the Left and the military rebels will be major players, concrete steps will be taken to defend and broaden the interests of the broad masses. This opens up the possibility that the alliance with the military rebels will continue and hold on till the next stages of the revolution.

∙ A unity in the concrete execution of the two components of the insurrection - the mass uprising and the military rebellion. We should not fall into the framework that the mass movement is a mere prop or support to the military rebellion. We should ensure that the two components develop and assist each other in a combined manner. We need to concretely discuss with the rebels key questions of the struggles, such as the tactics and plans, even the blueprint of a combined mass uprising and military rebellion. This is also our way of strengthening the terms of cooperation and relations with the military rebels.

Third, we should start widespread and intense propaganda and consciousness-raising work among the ranks of the soldiers. We should not be content with meeting and relating with the leaders of the military rebels. We should not ignore the fact that the ordinary soldiers themselves have gone through intense anti-communist propaganda and constant exposure to “Red scare” syndrome. Their idea of the Left vastly differs from the military rebels that we are now relating with. This means that we need to undertake continuing propaganda among their ranks to counter the erroneous views that they have been exposed to for years on end. We need different types of information and propaganda work to do this, such as the publication of a Left paper that is oriented toward the ordinary soldier, film shows, short lectures held secretly in their camps, or the likes.

Fourth, we should not also tie ourselves down with the idea that we merely wait for the military action as the trigger to a mass uprising. We should find out the most effective means in mobilizing the masses in street actions and in preparing them for the eventual eruption of the struggles that combine with military actions. This upsurge in the struggle may not be like past Edsa struggles where the masses are mainly confined in a small stretch of road along Edsa and have been used as mere cheering crowds for the new trapos.

We should develop the capacity of the mass movement to the level that it can undertake paralyzing actions, launch strikes, set up barricades in the streets, and at opportune moment, seize and occupy key institutions of the state and the mass media.

On this point, we have to prepare for an upsurge of the mass struggle down to the municipal level and large working class communities. Preparations for this will have to include the following:

∙ The continuation of the tactic of combining local mass struggles with the political struggle based on the campaign to oust Arroyo and establish a transitional revolutionary government.

∙ The formation of people’s power councils (some groups call it labor power councils or struggle committees) at municipal and major community levels. The councils act as centers of mobilization, of mass struggles and centers of uprising at opportune moment.

Finally, we should be prepared that in the intensification of the struggles, the people shall have the capacity to defend themselves, especially from severe state onslaught. This may involve the formation of self-defense units and militias in the factories and communities where the masses are prepared to fight.



MELENCIO Sonny
* Written for "Links, a journal for socialist renewal" (Australia).

*Sonny Melencio is a longtime activist in the Philippines. He is currently a Central Council member of the Laban ng Masa left coalition, an editor of the workers’ newspaper Obrero and host of the radio programs Radyo ng Masa and Radyo Obrero. Email: sonnymel@yahoo.com

Online 29 April 2006